Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.000995 0.001031 0.001066 0.001105 0.001147 0.001190 0.001237
2025-09-07 0.000932 0.000984 0.001038 0.001099 0.001167 0.001240 0.001324
2025-09-14 0.000876 0.000939 0.001006 0.001085 0.001174 0.001273 0.001391
2025-09-21 0.000829 0.000899 0.000977 0.001069 0.001176 0.001298 0.001449
2025-09-28 0.000794 0.000871 0.000956 0.001060 0.001184 0.001329 0.001514
2025-10-05 0.000750 0.000829 0.000918 0.001028 0.001161 0.001319 0.001527
2025-10-12 0.000725 0.000807 0.000902 0.001020 0.001165 0.001343 0.001581
2025-10-19 0.000707 0.000793 0.000893 0.001020 0.001179 0.001378 0.001652
2025-10-26 0.000687 0.000775 0.000878 0.001011 0.001181 0.001397 0.001700
2025-11-02 0.000673 0.000764 0.000872 0.001013 0.001195 0.001431 0.001772
2025-11-09 0.000656 0.000749 0.000860 0.001006 0.001198 0.001450 0.001822
2025-11-16 0.000639 0.000732 0.000845 0.000994 0.001193 0.001458 0.001857
2025-11-23 0.000633 0.000730 0.000848 0.001007 0.001222 0.001515 0.001968
2025-11-30 0.000623 0.000722 0.000844 0.001010 0.001238 0.001554 0.002055
2025-12-07 0.000609 0.000709 0.000832 0.001002 0.001237 0.001569 0.002106
2025-12-14 0.000594 0.000693 0.000818 0.000990 0.001231 0.001575 0.002142
2025-12-21 0.000582 0.000682 0.000808 0.000983 0.001232 0.001592 0.002197
2025-12-28 0.000562 0.000660 0.000783 0.000955 0.001201 0.001558 0.002166
2026-01-04 0.000551 0.000649 0.000773 0.000948 0.001200 0.001571 0.002213
2026-01-11 0.000544 0.000643 0.000769 0.000949 0.001210 0.001600 0.002292
2026-01-18 0.000534 0.000633 0.000760 0.000941 0.001207 0.001610 0.002336
2026-01-25 0.000528 0.000628 0.000757 0.000943 0.001218 0.001641 0.002420
2026-02-01 0.000519 0.000619 0.000749 0.000936 0.001217 0.001653 0.002470